As a grassroots Democratic activist, you deserve to know where your support is most needed right now. So, with the election only seven weeks away, on September 18 I updated my chart that provides a simple snapshot of where the race to control the U.S. Senate stands.
Looking only at polls where the majority of interviews were conducted within the last month, here is the simple polling average for all U.S. Senate races that are currently within 10.0% or less: (The source for all polls in 538. For those of you wondering, Nebraska is not listed as it is not clear that Dan Osborn, the Independent challenger to Deb Fischer, would caucus with Democrats):
Here is what this chart shows:
The good news: Democrats have a lead of 5.0% or more in enough states to win 48 seats in the 2024 elections. Maryland is no longer in the top tier of competitive states, with Angela Alsobrooks extending her lead in recent polling. Nevada is looking *really* good, and Missouri is back on the chart.
The bad news: Republicans have expanded their lead in Montana, which is no longer in the top tier of competitive states. Texas has not gotten any closer, and Florida is the new tipping point state.
The solution: Democrats can still keep control of the U.S. Senate if they sweep all of the states where they currently lead by 5.0% or more, AND if they win Ohio, Florida and The White House, as winning the White House is effectively equal to winning one U.S. Senate seat.
As such, I have put together this Act Blue page so that you can to contribute to Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Florida, and Vice President Kamala Harris at the same time.
Please, split a donation of to Sherrod Brown, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Kamala Harris, and Bowers News Media PAC. Right now, these races are the battleground that will determine whether or not Democrats maintain control of the White House and the U.S. Senate in the 2024 elections.
Thank you for your time,
Chris Bowers
Founder, Bowers News Media