We MUST win the Senate.

Goal thermometer

Judges, confirmations, investigations, it's all on the line if we don't flip the Senate. But this is one of the best shots we've had, and we've got Trump to thank for that.


Races that shouldn't be competitive are competitive this year. I've taken great care to only put candidates on this list that are running well in the polls and not extremely over subscribed in fundraising. IF you want to see a good topline on polls, check out 538's Senate polling tracker.


There will be some surprises here, races even I didn't think were competitive are actually on the line.


  • FLIP Kansas: It's unbelievable we're competitive in Kansas, but Democrats do win statewide here so Bollier has a shot to knock off Marshall.
  • FLIP Alaska: Al Gross (the Bear Doctor) This race shouldn't be competitive, but suddenly it is, and lots of polls have it at a dead heat. Your money will go far in Alaska's affordable media market.
  • FLIP Colorado: John Hickenlooper (the Geologist) has been really doing well against Cory Gardner, but I wouldn't get too comfortable. It's a single digit lead and there's still a ways before election day.
  • FLIP Iowa: Teresa Greenfield is really running well in Iowa. This seat leans blue according to Cook but I won't take anything for granted here. Ernst is enough of a centrist that this is a risk of loss for us.
  • FLIP North Carolina: Cal Cunningham is running well against Thom Tillis in a state where we're just starting to break into the state.
  • FLIP Montana: This is one of my lottery tickets. This state is rated as a tossup, but the Dem candidate Steve Bullock is running several points behind Republican Steve Daines. I'm an endless optimist though.
  • FLIP Mississippi: Democrats in Mississippi are a different breed. Mike Espy is the ultimate lottery ticket though, and I'm going to throw my money at him beating Cindy Hyde-Smith.


Here's the races I omitted because for a variety of reasons.


  • FLIP Maine: If Sara Gideon loses to Susan Collins, it won't be because of money. She outspent Collins 3:2 at the midpoint this year and knocking off Collins is high on every Dem org in the country. I don't think more money helps at this point.
  • FLIP Arizona: Mark Kelly (the astronaut) has a double digit lead over Martha McSally. He has also been the recipient of a lot of funds. More money doesn't change the outcome.
  • FLIP Kentucky: Amy McGrath is really far behind Mitch McConnell after a lot of high profile fundraising. Beat Mitch by making him a minority leader. I don't think your money is moving the needle here.
  • FLIP Texas: MJ Heger is running behind John Cornyn. This race should be tighter by now, but it's not. And there's some Texas shenanigans happening with absentee ballots.
  • FLIP Georgia: There's actually 2 Senate seats up in GA (one in Nov and one in Jan), and I kind of can't believe we're even remotely competitive. Jon Ossof has experience running a statewide campaign, and is polling decently. But he's not ahead, and the race for Loeffler's seat isn't until January, so I'm going to keep GA off the list and reevaluate when we see how bad the results are from Ossof's race. Georgia's history of voter suppression is pretty high of a concern here.
  • FLIP South Carolina: Lindsey Graham is in worse shape than he should be. With no soul left to sell, he still started the year in a safe seat. Then Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison won the Dem primary and that was bad news. Graham is tied to Trump and now the race is a statstical tie. I would ask you to contribute to this but Harrison just raised $57mm.




For small races like this one your money will go very far! And because of matching donors your donation of $1 will be matched by $2 given by matching donors up to $7,000. If we raise $3,500, matching donors will give $7,000. Your $100 gift will become $300!


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