Paint the House Blue

Defeating Donald Trump is cause one, but retaking the House is an important backstop. Should Trump win, having Democrats control either the House of Representatives or Senate would be a critical check against his worst tendencies, and it’s more likely that Democrats can reclaim the House than retain control over the Senate. Democrats need to net just four more seats to flip the House.


The slate here consists of competitive races where donations would be most likely to help Democrats flip the House. The candidates are:


  • Amish Shah, Arizona, 1st Congressional District
  • Adam Gray, CA-13
  • Kristen McDonald Rivet, MI-08
  • Janelle Bynum, OR-5
  • Janelle Stelson, PA-10

The recommended candidates have the following characteristics.


  • None are incumbents. Challengers have more difficulty raising funds than incumbents, and their campaign spending tends to help them more as it makes them known quantities.


  • They are short on funding or face a funding gap.


  • All are in toss-up or effectively-tied races.


  • All but one are running for seats now held by Republicans. Flipping a few of these seats would help secure a Democratic House majority. The exception is Rivet (MI-08) who is running in a tight race for an open seat previously held by a Democrat.


  • Nearly all are in districts that Biden won in 2020. These blue-tinged districts are fertile ground for picking up seats.


  • Three are running in key battleground states. In these cases, turning out more votes for the Democratic congressional candidate can boost Harris and her electoral chances as well. 


This slate was developed based on a review of key information of these races as summarized by Ballotpedia and by the group Oath.vote, and on assessments of House candidate slates developed by some of the most savvy national and local organizations working to achieve a Democratic House majority. The list of candidates will be reassessed regularly to see if any developments dictate changes.


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