Winning a Democratic House Majority in 2026 is NOT a Foregone Conclusion.
About JFW
JFW is a joint fundraising agreement providing hard money to House incumbents (in 2025) and challengers (in 2026) who collectively yield the greatest probability of winning a House majority. JFW is not focused on issues or geography—it is focused on winning a Democratic House majority.
Background
Heading into the 2024 elections, Democrats needed to gain four seats to earn a majority. Democrats across the country thought winning the House was a foregone conclusion.
What happened?
Democrats flipped nine seats and Republicans flipped eight; Democrats are still down by three seats.
Of the nine seats Democrats won:
JFW Fund is a joint fundraising agreement which currently supports the six most vulnerable Democratic House members—those who flipped their districts with margins under 3%:
Congresswoman Janelle Bynum
Flipped OR-5 with a 2.73% margin (10,945 votes)
Congresswoman Laura Gillen
Flipped NY-4 with a 2.29% margin (8,603 votes)
Congressman Adam Gray
Flipped CA-13 with a 0.09% margin (187 votes)
Congressman Josh Riley
Flipped NY-19 with a 2.21% margin (8,357 votes)
Congressman Derek Tran
Flipped CA-45 with a 0.21% margin (653 votes)
Congressman George Whitesides
Flipped CA-27 with a 2.66% margin (7,990 votes)
In order to win the House in 2026, we must defend our most vulnerable seats and flip three seats.
The 2026 Senate map does not present many Democratic pickup opportunities.
If we want guardrails in 2026, the only option is the House!