Here are the answers to the questions:
QUESTION 1
How much does Democratic vote share increase within fully contested precincts due to the REVERSE Coattail Effect?
ANSWER 1:
In 2020, the Reverse Coattail Effect increased Democratic vote share by:
Texas: +2.3%
Wisconsin: +1/2%
Georgia: +0.6%
The trend increases as a state becomes a battleground state. Therefore, Down Ballot Allies' early activities are in states on the cusp of being a battleground state.
QUESTION 2:
What is the average cost of a vote in a competitive Congressional race?
ANSWER 2:
$100
QUESTION 3:
What is the average cost of a vote in a State Legislative race?
ANSWER 3:
$10
QUESTION 4:
What is the average cost of a vote in a school board race?
ANSWER 4:
$2 - $3
CONCLUSIONS
An opportunity exists to Flip the House and enjoy similar top-of-the-ticket wins if:
TO MAXIMIZE THE REVERSE COATTAIL EFFECT, our strategy proposes that:
Money invested in Democratic down ballot races means higher voter turnout for targeted Democratic Congressional races, building energy at every level.
Investing in down ballot races yields higher Democratic turnout, benefiting candidates from the bottom-up.
Down Ballot Allies has a simple goal: maximizing the value of Democratic donors’ contributions in the most competitive Congressional campaigns.
Our Allies make it possible! Be an Ally!