House Ratings: Meet the Battleground

Goal thermometer

Democrats have breached the suburban wall. Those seats are falling one by one.


Panic (and the early blame game) is setting in amongst Republicans. The once safe exurban districts are now fully exposed, with many of these Republicans candidates ill prepared or lacking money to respond to their Democratic challengers.



Senate Breakdown:

AZ - McSally (R) v. Sinema (D) → Leans Dem

FL - Nelson (D) v. Scott (R) → Leans Dem

IN - Donnelly (D) v. Braun (R) → Leans Dem

MO - McCaskill (D) v. Hawley (R) → Toss Up

MT - Tester (D) v. Rosendale (R) → Leans Dem

NV - Heller (R) v. Rosen (D) → Leans Dem

NJ - Menendez (D) v. Hugin (R) → Leans Dem

ND - Heitkamp (D) v. Cramer (R) → Leans Rep

TN - Blackburn (R) v. Bredesen (D) → Toss Up

TX - Cruz (R) v. O'Rourke (D) → Toss Up

WV - Manchin (D) v. Morrisey (R) → Leans Dem


Rep seats Leaning Dem Gain (48 Seats)

AK AL (Don Young) - Leans Dem

AZ 02 (McSally - Open) - Likely Dem

CA 10 (Denham) - Leans Dem

CA 25 (Knight) - Leans Dem

CA 39 (Royce - Open) - Leans Dem

CA 45 (Walters) - Leans Dem

CA 48 (Rohrabacher) - Leans Rep

CA 49 (Issa - Open) - Likely Dem

CO 06 (Coffman) - Leans Dem

FL 15 (Dennis Ross - Open) - Leans Dem

FL 26 (Curbelo) - Leans Dem

FL 27 (Ros Lehtinen - Open) - Leans Dem

GA 06 (Handel) - Leans Dem

IA 01 (Blum) - Likely Dem

IA 03 (David Young) - Leans Dem

IL 06 (Roskam) - Leans Dem

IL 14 (Hultgren) - Leans Dem

KS 02 (L. Jenkins - Open) - Leans Dem

KS 03 (Yoder) - Leans Dem

KY 06 (Barr) - Leans Dem

ME 02 (Poliquin) - Leans Dem

MI 08 (Mike Bishop) - Leans Dem

MI 11 (Trott - Open) - Leans Dem

MN 02 (Jason Lewis) - Leans Dem

MN 03 (Paulsen) - Leans Dem

MT AL (Gianforte) - Leans Dem

NC 09 (Pittenger - Open) - Leans Dem

NJ 02 (LoBiondo - Open) - Safe Dem

NJ 03 (MacArthur) - Leans Dem

NJ 07 (Lance) - Leans Dem

NJ 11 (Frelinghuysen - Open) - Likely Dem

NM 02 (Pearce - Open) - Leans Dem

NY 19 (Faso) - Leans Dem

NY 22 (Tenney) - Leans Dem

NY 27 (Chris Collins) - Leans Dem

PA 01 (Fitzpatrick) - Leans Dem

PA 05 (Meehan - Open Seat) - Likely Dem

PA 06 (Costello - Open Seat) - Likely Dem

PA 07 (Dent - Open Seat) - Leans Dem

PA 10 (Perry) - Leans Dem

PA 17 (Rothfus) - Likely Dem

TX 07 (Culberson) - Leans Dem

TX 32 (Sessions) - Leans Dem

UT 04 (Love) - Leans Dem

VA 02 (Taylor) - Leans Dem

VA 07 (Brat) - Leans Dem

VA 10 (Comstock) - Likely Dem

WA 08 (Reichert - Open) - Leans Dem


Dem seats Leaning Rep Gains (2 Seats):

MN 08 (Nolan - Open) - Leans Rep

PA 14 (Lamb - Open) - Safe Rep


Competitive districts favorable to Reps:

AR 02 (French Hill) - Likely Rep

AZ 08 (Lesko) - Likely Rep

CA 04 (McClintock) - Likely Rep

CA 21 (Valadao) - Likely Rep

CA 22 (Nunes) - Likely Rep

CA 50 (Hunter) - Likely Rep

CO 03 (Tipton) - Likely Rep

FL 06 (DeSantis - Open) - Leans Rep

FL 16 (Buchanan) - Likely Rep

FL 18 (Mast) - Likely Rep

FL 25 (Diaz-Balart) - Leans Rep

GA 07 (Woodall) - Leans Rep

IL 12 (Bost) - Leans Rep

IL 13 (Rodney Davis) - Leans Rep

IN 09 (Hollingsworth) - Likely Rep

IA 04 (Steve King) - Leans Rep

MI 01 (Bergman) - Likely Rep

MI 06 (Upton) - Likely Rep

MI 07 (Walberg) - Leans Rep

MO 02 (Wagner) - Likely Rep

NC 02 (Holding) - Leans Rep

NC 13 (Budd) - Leans Rep

NE 02 (Bacon) - Leans Rep

NY 01 (Zeldin) - Likely Rep

NY 02 (Peter King) - Likely Rep

NY 11 (Donovan) - Leans Rep

NY 21 (Stefanik) - Likely Rep

NY 24 (Katko) - Leans Rep

NY 23 (Tom Reed) - Likely Rep

OH 01 (Chabot) - Likely Rep

OH 07 (Gibbs) - Likely Rep

OH 10 (Turner) - Likely Rep

OH 12 (Balderson) - Leans Rep

OH 14 (Joyce) - Likely Rep

OK 05 (Russell) - Likely Rep

PA 16 (Mike Kelly) - Likely Rep

SC 01 (Sanford - Open) - Leans Rep

TX 02 (Poe - Open) - Likely Rep

TX 06 (Barton - Open) - Likely Rep

TX 21 (Lamar Smith) - Likely Rep

TX 22 (Olson) - Leans Rep

TX 23 (Hurd) - Leans Rep

TX 31 (John Carter) - Likely Rep

VA 05 (Garrett - Open) - Leans Rep

WA 03 (Herrera Beutler) - Leans Dem

WA 05 (McMorris Rodgers) - Likely Rep

WV 03 (Jenkins - Open) - Likely Rep

WI 01 (Ryan - Open) - Leans Rep

WI 06 (Grothman) - Leans Rep


Dem seats previously seen vulnerable:

AZ 01 (O'Halleran) - Likely Dem

FL 07 (Stephanie Murphy) - Likely Dem

MN 01 (Walz - Open) - Leans Dem

MN 07 (Peterson) - Likely Dem

NH 01 (Shea Porter - Open) - Likely Dem

NV 03 (Rosen - Open) - Leans Dem

NV 04 (Kihuen - Open) - Likely Dem

PA 08 (Cartwright) - Likely Dem



**This list will be updated from now until Election Day.


Winning it for THE PEOPLE!!!


Please promote this page to anyone you know and let's finish with a strong victory. The special interests were wanting to BUY another election, but the strength of WE THE PEOPLE stopped them.

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