Contribute Now to Keep the House Blue!

by Sam Leven

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The Republicans are counting on 2010 being a "wave" election year, like 1994 and 2006. If there's any hope of fighting for progressive causes, and pursuing President Obama's agenda, including immigration reform, climate change legislation, and ending discrimination against homosexuals, we MUST keep Congress in the hands of Democrats!

This page is dedicated to fighting to keep the House in the hands of good Democrats.

As the election draws near, I have re-vamped the way this page works. I will be primarily relying on FiveThirtyEight.com's analysis now to pick the 40 seats that most need support. To qualify to be considered for this page, FiveThirtyEight.com must consider the odds of a takeover (no matter which party is taking over) to be below 95%, and electionprojection.com must consider the odds of a takeover to be "Mod" or less. I will include on this page, and update periodically, the Democratic candidates from the forty seats most likely to turnover (in either direction) according to FiveThirtyEight.com which meet the above two criteria.



Image of Steve Driehaus

Steve Driehaus

OH-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 93%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of John Carney

John Carney

DE-AL

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 93%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod DEM Gain

Image of Tom Perriello

Tom Perriello

VA-05

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 92%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Mary Jo Kilroy

Mary Jo Kilroy

OH-03

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 91%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of F. Allen Boyd, Jr

F. Allen Boyd, Jr

FL-02

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 90%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Frank M. Kratovil, Jr.

Frank M. Kratovil, Jr.

MD-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 90%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Betsy Markey

Betsy Markey

CO-04

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 89%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Carol Shea-Porter

Carol Shea-Porter

NH-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 89%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Earl Pomeroy

Earl Pomeroy

ND-AL

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 88%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Cedric Richmond

Cedric Richmond

LA-02

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 88%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak DEM Gain

Image of Chad Causey

Chad Causey

AR-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 87%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Travis W. Childers

Travis W. Childers

MS-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 87%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Ann Kirkpatrick

Ann Kirkpatrick

AZ-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 86%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Denny Heck

Denny Heck

WA-10

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 85%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Gary McDowell

Gary McDowell

MI-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 84%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Steve Kagen

Steve Kagen

WI-08

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 83%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Suzanne Kosmas

Suzanne Kosmas

FL-24

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 81%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Julie Lassa

Julie Lassa

WI-07

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 80%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Glenn Nye

Glenn Nye

VA-02

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 80%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Stephanie Herseth Sandlin

Stephanie Herseth Sandlin

SD-AL

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 78%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Chris Carney

Chris Carney

PA-10

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 78%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of John Boccieri

John Boccieri

OH-16

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 77%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Harry Teague

Harry Teague

NM-02

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 77%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Lincoln Davis

Lincoln Davis

TN-04

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 76%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Alan Grayson

Alan Grayson

FL-08

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 75%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Paul Kanjorski

Paul Kanjorski

PA-11

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 75%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Mod GOP Gain

Image of Bryan Lentz

Bryan Lentz

PA-07

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 74%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Harry Mitchell

Harry Mitchell

AZ-05

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 74%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Bobby Bright

Bobby Bright

AL-02

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 72%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of John Hall

John Hall

NY-19

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 72%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Patrick Murphy

Patrick Murphy

PA-08

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 71%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Jerry McNerney

Jerry McNerney

CA-11

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 69%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Bill Owens

Bill Owens

NY-21

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 67%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Ron Klein

Ron Klein

FL-22

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 67%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Kurt Schrader

Kurt Schrader

OR-05

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 66%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Gene Taylor

Gene Taylor

MS-04

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 65%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak DEM Hold

Image of Jim Marshall

Jim Marshall

GA-08

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 64%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Phil Hare

Phil Hare

IL-17

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 63%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of Mike Oliverio

Mike Oliverio

WV-01

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 63%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

Image of John Salazar

John Salazar

CO-03

FiveThirtyEight Turnover Odds (10/25/10): 61%

Electionprojection.com Rating (10/25/10): Weak GOP Gain

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