from the Albany Times Union:
The tough immigration enforcement law that won the state national admirers and detractors has had one unintended effect: It has strongly motivated Latinos and Democrats to come to the polls in 2012. The result is closer-than-anticipated races both for president and Senate in Arizona. While Romney seems likely to hang on, the prognosis is more iffy for Rep. Jeff Flake, the early favorite to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Jon Kyl. The beneficiary is Rich Carmona, President George W. Bush’s U.S. Surgeon General, who is the Democratic Senate nominee. Recent polling shows a close race. If Romney avoids further setbacks, Flake should be able to hold on. If the bottom falls out on the GOP presidential candidate, however, Carmona could be one of the surprise winners on Nov. 6.