PEC - High-leverage target races for 2012

by Sam Wang

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As I have described at the Princeton Election Consortium, the closest races are where your donations are most effective. Among President/Senate/House, the closest question is who will control the House.

Although Senate control is no longer in question, some individual Senate races are in play, including Heitkamp, Carmona, and Tester.



Image of Heidi Heitkamp

Heidi Heitkamp

ND-Sen

In small-population North Dakota, your donation will have.exceptional leverage. Heitkamp is a strong candidate, but Berg is well-funded. Rating: Among Senate races, this is a top giving priority.

Image of Jon Tester

Jon Tester

MT-Sen

Senator Tester is neck and neck with Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and has run a sharp campaign. His chances have improved significantly over the last month. Rating: Among Senate races, this is a top giving priority.

Image of DCCC

DCCC

Republicans will lose seats - the question is how many. A Democratic takeover is an uphill climb, but not out of the question.

Image of John Hernandez

John Hernandez

CA-21

Internal polling information shows that this House race is neck and neck. The race is very underfunded in a district that went +11% for Obama in 2008.

Image of Al Lawson

Al Lawson

FL-02

FL-02: The two candidates are basically tied, yet the Democrat, Al Lawson, is underfunded.

Image of Steve Pestka

Steve Pestka

MI-03

MI-03: Democrat Steve Pestka is putting freshman Republican Justin Amash in jeopardy.

Image of Joe Donnelly

Joe Donnelly

IN-Sen

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