Republicans think this is a safe seat, but some Dem strategists think this is a sleeper we can win. From Electoral Vote.com:
Bill Young has been elected to the House 18 times, usually with not much opposition, but in 2010 his luck may be running out. State Senate minority leader Charlie Justice (D) has announced a challenge to Young that Young will not be able to ignore. The district, just west of Tampa Bay, is R+01, and with a serious opponent this time, the 78-year-old congressman may decide to retire, leading to a open seat in a swing district. Either way, this once-sure Republican seat is now a tossup.